Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury: WNBA Preview, Predictions & Key Storylines

9/24 - 10:00 PM EDT at Mortgage Matchup Center · 2026 WNBA Season

The Las Vegas Aces head to face the Phoenix Mercury in a Women's National Basketball Association matchup that carries real weight for both sides. The game is set for 9/24 - 10:00 PM EDT, and will be played at Mortgage Matchup Center. Heading into the contest, the Las Vegas Aces sit at 30-13 while the Phoenix Mercury are 16-27, setting up a matchup where every possession and every quarter could matter.

Fans looking to catch the action can tune in on USA Net, CNBC, AZ Family Sports Net, Vegas 34, with streaming also available via Merc+. As always, broadcast availability can vary by region, so it's worth double-checking local listings closer to kickoff to avoid missing the opening possession.

WNBA Matchup Prediction

According to advanced matchup modeling, the Las Vegas Aces enter this game as the favorite, projected with a 66% chance to win compared to a 34% probability for the Phoenix Mercury. That projection factors in team performance, recent form, and head-to-head trends, though as any WNBA fan knows, percentages don't play the game — the Phoenix Mercury will have every opportunity to defy the odds on the field.

Recent Form

Momentum heading into game day tells its own story. Phoenix Mercury have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W); Las Vegas Aces have gone 5-0 over their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Recent form is often one of the most reliable indicators of how a team will perform under pressure, and both sides will be looking to carry that momentum, or reverse it, in this matchup.

Where They Stand in the WNBA (2025-26 Western Conference Standings)

Standings context adds another layer to this matchup. The Las Vegas Aces currently hold a record of 30-13 with a win percentage of .698. The Phoenix Mercury sit at 16-27, good for a .372 win percentage. Every game at this stage of the WNBA season carries playoff and seeding implications, which only raises the stakes for both teams involved.

Players to Watch

Individual performances are often the deciding factor in games like this. Phoenix Mercury is paced by Kahleah Copper in points (21.6); Las Vegas Aces is paced by A'ja Wilson in points (26.0). Keep an eye on these key contributors, as their production will likely go a long way in deciding the final outcome.

Injury Report

Availability is always a factor in WNBA, and this matchup is no exception. Phoenix Mercury (3 players on the injury report), while Las Vegas Aces (2 players on the injury report) are currently dealing with injury concerns heading into the game. Any late-week changes to these injury designations could shift the matchup outlook, so it's worth checking back for the latest status updates before kickoff.

Venue & Weather Conditions

This WNBA matchup will be played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.

Final Word

Whether you're following along for fantasy implications, playoff seeding, or simply love a good WNBA matchup, Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury has the makings of a game worth your full attention. With the Las Vegas Aces favored but the Phoenix Mercury more than capable of pulling off the upset, this is a matchup where the final score is far from a foregone conclusion.

Check back on this page for live score updates, real-time standings, and post-game recaps as soon as the final whistle blows.

Everything to Know Before Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury

How have the Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury been playing lately?

Recent results tell part of the story heading into this game. Phoenix Mercury have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W); Las Vegas Aces have gone 5-0 over their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Momentum like this is one of the clearer signals of how a team might perform under pressure, though it's never a guarantee.

Where do both teams currently rank in the WNBA standings?

Standings context adds another layer to this matchup. The Las Vegas Aces currently hold a record of 30-13 with a win percentage of .698. The Phoenix Mercury sit at 16-27, good for a .372 win percentage. Every game at this stage of the WNBA season carries playoff and seeding implications, which only raises the stakes for both teams involved.

Which players are worth watching in this WNBA matchup?

Phoenix Mercury is paced by Kahleah Copper in points (21.6); Las Vegas Aces is paced by A'ja Wilson in points (26.0). Both of these players are worth tracking closely once the game gets underway.

Are there any injuries that could affect this matchup?

Phoenix Mercury (3 players on the injury report), while Las Vegas Aces (2 players on the injury report) are currently dealing with injury concerns heading into the game. A player's final status can still change in the hours before the game, so it's worth a last check before kickoff.

Does either team have the edge heading into this game?

ESPN's Matchup Predictor gives the Las Vegas Aces the better chance to win, at 66%, against a 34% probability for the Phoenix Mercury. It's a statistical projection, not a guarantee, and games like this are decided on the field, not on paper.

When and how can I watch Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury?

This WNBA game is scheduled for 9/24 - 10:00 PM EDT. You can watch on USA Net, CNBC, AZ Family Sports Net, Vegas 34, or stream it via Merc+. Coverage can vary by region, so double-check local listings ahead of time.

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